Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.223251e-05 0.000075 0.000088 0.000103 0.000121 0.000139 0.000161
2025-03-09 4.514140e-05 0.000061 0.000079 0.000102 0.000129 0.000159 0.000196
2025-03-16 3.663542e-05 0.000054 0.000075 0.000102 0.000135 0.000174 0.000223
2025-03-23 3.024563e-05 0.000048 0.000072 0.000103 0.000143 0.000191 0.000252
2025-03-30 2.490605e-05 0.000043 0.000068 0.000102 0.000147 0.000202 0.000274
2025-04-06 2.007600e-05 0.000038 0.000063 0.000099 0.000149 0.000211 0.000293
2025-04-13 1.785066e-05 0.000036 0.000063 0.000103 0.000157 0.000228 0.000322
2025-04-20 1.417781e-05 0.000031 0.000058 0.000099 0.000157 0.000233 0.000336
2025-04-27 1.186151e-05 0.000028 0.000055 0.000098 0.000160 0.000242 0.000356
2025-05-04 9.972261e-06 0.000026 0.000053 0.000098 0.000163 0.000252 0.000376
2025-05-11 9.086230e-06 0.000025 0.000054 0.000101 0.000172 0.000269 0.000406
2025-05-18 7.742393e-06 0.000023 0.000052 0.000101 0.000176 0.000280 0.000427
2025-05-25 5.860206e-06 0.000020 0.000048 0.000098 0.000175 0.000284 0.000440
2025-06-01 4.676261e-06 0.000018 0.000046 0.000097 0.000178 0.000293 0.000462
2025-06-08 3.788765e-06 0.000017 0.000044 0.000096 0.000181 0.000304 0.000484
2025-06-15 3.161888e-06 0.000015 0.000043 0.000097 0.000187 0.000317 0.000511
2025-06-22 2.475260e-06 0.000014 0.000041 0.000096 0.000189 0.000326 0.000532
2025-06-29 1.833746e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000094 0.000189 0.000332 0.000547
2025-07-06 1.612355e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000097 0.000198 0.000350 0.000581
2025-07-13 1.107001e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000094 0.000195 0.000352 0.000592
2025-07-20 8.283391e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000093 0.000198 0.000361 0.000612
2025-07-27 6.158867e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000092 0.000201 0.000370 0.000634
2025-08-03 5.422775e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000096 0.000210 0.000389 0.000670